Publications

Scotto, M. G. and Guedes Soares, C. (2007), “Bayesian Inference for Long-Term Prediction of Significant Wave Height”, CE 54 (2007) - 393 - MGS,CGS.pdf

This paper studies the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto (2004).

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