Publications

Neves, C., Scotto, M.G. and Guedes Soares, C. (2006), “On the Statistical Choice of Extreme Domains of Attraction in Long-Term Predictions of Significant Wave Height”, Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering (OMAE´06), 4-9 June, 2006, Hamburg, Germany, ASME, New York, Paper OMAE2006-92458

Focusing solely on the tail of the underlying distribution through the consideration of both extreme and intermediate order statistics, three testing procedures are applied so as to determine the choice of the extreme model which more suitably describes the largest significant wave heights that occurred at Figueira da Foz, Portugal, from 1958 up to 2001. On the basis of the results yielded by these alternative tests of hypothesis, inferences are established about the tail behavior of the underlying distribution, namely about whether it decays exponentially fast and whether it has finite endpoint or not. This is a fundamental step preceding the estimation of extreme characteristics since it provides a way of distinguishing, upon several estimation methods, the most adequate to adopt within the present setting.

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