Publications

Liang, Z., Zhang, D., Guedes Soares, C. and Fan, S.Q. (2016), “A Petri Net Model for a Causation Analysis of Ship Foundering”, 13th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 13), 2-7 October, Seoul, Korea

A ship foundering causation analysis model is developed in this paper adopting the Petri Net method to represent the historical data collected from the China Maritime Safety Administration. The Petri Net model proposed is able to identify critical safety factors and event chains that lead to shipwrecks. As such, this model can provide certain insights for decision making on the prevention of ship foundering. A series of case studies are further carried out for the validation and utilization of the model.

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