Publications

Guedes Soares, C. (1988) , “Uncertainty Modelling in Plate Buckling”, Structural Safety, Vol. 5, pp. 17-34

A brief account is given of the basic principles of uncertainty modelling with first order second moment methods. The main feature of the behaviour of plates subjected to compressive loads is considered and various prediction methods are compared. The governing parameters of plate behaviour are used to construct probabilistic models of the laboratory test situation, for the analysis and for the design of plates. The uncertainty of the strength predictions is quantified in the different cases. Special attention is given to the implication of problem formulation and to the methodology of uncertainty modelling.

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