Publications

Gaspar, B., Bucher, C. and Guedes Soares, C. (2015), “Reliability Analysis of Plate Elements under Uniaxial Compression using an Adaptive Response Surface Approach”, Ships and Offshore Structures, Vol. 10(2), pp. 145-161

This paper presents a reliability analysis of plate elements under uniaxial compression using a response surface approach. The limit state considered is the buckling collapse failure of the plate elements computed through nonlinear finite element analysis. A response surface model based on second-order polynomials is combined with the first-order reliability method in order to compute reliability estimates at moderate computational time. An adaptive interpolation scheme combined with a Latin hypercube sampling technique is used to define the response surface model iteratively in the region of the basic random variables space that most contributes to the failure probability. Plate elements typical of the deck structure of double hull tankers with random thickness, material properties and amplitude of welding-induced initial distortions are used as case study. The uniaxial compressive load is defined considering extreme values along a reference time period of one year of operation of the ship. The effect of considering constrained or restrained boundary conditions along the longitudinal plate edges as well as corroded plate elements on the reliability analysis results is characterized. Sensitivity analyses are performed to identify the relative contribution and importance of each basic random variable to the estimated reliability indices.

You can download this paper from: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17445302.2014.912047

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