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Group of Marine Environment > 1.2 Probabilistic Models of Wave Parameters > Publications
Guedes Soares, C., Ferreira, R.G. and Scotto, M.G. (2003), “On the Prediction of Extreme Values of Significant Wave Heights”, ”, Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering (OMAE 2003), 8-13 Junho, Cancun, México, ASME, New York, USA, Paper OMAE2003-37454
This paper provides an overview of different methods of extrapolating environmental data to low probability levels based on the extreme value theory. It discusses the Annual Maxima method and the Peak Over Threshold method, using unified terminology and notation. Furthermore, it describes a method based on the r largest order statistics that has the advantage of providing more accurate parameters and quantile estimates than the Annual Maxima method. Several examples illustrate the methodology and reveal strengths and weaknesses of the various approaches.
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