|
|
Publicações
Guedes Soares, C. e Sebastião, P. (2002), “Risk of Oil Spill Pollution off the Portuguese Coast”, Actas da 3rd International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation - Risk Analysis III, pp. 337-345, Sintra, Portugal
The risk of oil pollution of the Portuguese Coast can be assessed from the risk of oil spills resulting from ship collision in the region and from the uncertainties of the trajectory of that oil given the uncertainties of the weather parameters. The probability distribution of oil spills can be based on the historical data of the accidents that occurred in the area or on a maritime traffic simulation model that is able to predict the risk of accident from a simulated traffic pattern. The uncertainty of the weather parameters can be reflected on a spread of possible trajectories and on the area in the coast where they will reach.
Se nao conseguiu obter uma copia desta publicação: Peça uma cópia desta publicação
Para informação sobre todas as publicações do CENTEC pode descarregar: Lista Completa de Publicações do CENTEC
|