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Publicações
Zhang, Yi., Wei, K., Shen, ZH., Bai, X., Lu, XZ. and Guedes Soares, C. (2020), “Economic Impact of Typhoon Induced Wind Disasters to Port Operations: A Case Study of Ports in China”, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Vol. 50:, pp. 101719 (14 pages)
The impact of a port disruption can reverberate across the whole economy through global supply chains. It is essential to ensure the normal operation of the seaborne transportation considering all the risks. The climate factors would be one of the most challenging risks and need to be carefully coped with. This paper provides a case study to review the economic losses of port disruptions induced by typhoons for four selected Chinese ports in the past eleven years. Both the daily cargo throughput and the climate will affect the magnitude of losses. A wind model is introduced to analyze the wind-fields of typhoons that happened in the past eleven years. The likelihood of port disruption is then estimated based on the simulated wind-field results at each port. On the basis of the estimated port disruption days, the total economic loss of each port is calculated by considering reputational loss, loss to the shippers, loss to the carriers and loss to the ports. Finally, the economic impact of such natural disasters on port operations is discussed. The results implied both the disruption time and throughput are critical in economic estimations and could help port managers to obtain optimum decisions in controlling the port operations.
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