Grupo de Ambiente Marinho > 1.2 Modelos Probabilísticos de Parâmetros da Agitação Marítima > Publicações

Cieslikiewicz, W., Paplinska-Swerpel, B. e Guedes Soares, C. (2004), “Multi-Decadal Wind Wave Modelling Over the Baltic Sea”, Actas da 29th International Conference on Coastal Engineering (ICCE 2004) - Coastal Engineering 2004, 19-24 Setembro 2004, World Scientific (Ed.), Vol. I, pp. 778-791, Lisboa, Portugal

In the present study, the WAM model is used to forecast wind wave characteristics over the Baltic Sea. This is a part of the HIPOCAS, which is an EU funded research project with an objective to obtain a 44-year hindcast of wind, wave, sea-level, and current climatology for European waters and coastal seas for application in coastal and environmental decision processes. Quite a good agreement between the modelled and the measured wave data was obtained. A high-resolution homogeneous wave data set generated with the hindcast system created within HIPOCAS has provided a lot of possibilities to examine the long-term variability of the wave climate over the Baltic Sea. In this study, such examination has been carried out and some long-term changes in wind wave climate were found. It was shown that these trends are consistent with both long-term changes in the wind conditions over the Baltic Sea, and the trend that can be noticed in the NAO index variability.

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